منابع مشابه
Political equilibria with electoral uncertainty
After an election, when party positions and strengths are known, there may be a centrally located large party at the core position. Theory suggests that such a core party is able to form a minority government and control policy. In the absence of a core party, theory suggests that the outcome be a lottery associated with coalition risk. Stochastic models of elections typically indicate that all...
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We study the formation of advocacy groups and how they can impact policy outcomes by revealing information about voters’ preferences to uninformed political candidates. We conduct a laboratory experiment based on a two-candidate spatial electoral competition setting where the policy preferences of voters are (initially) unknown and change over time. In the control treatment candidates learn abo...
متن کاملPolitical Uncertainty and Crime in Transition Economies*
Political Uncertainty and Crime in Transition Economies Two stylized facts are often used to characterize the economies in transition: an increase in the crime level and frequent government changes, where the party in power is replaced by another party with a different, and often opposite, ideological orientation. We investigate the impact on agents’ honesty when agents perceive the future form...
متن کاملPolitical Uncertainty, Financial Crisis, and Market Volatility
This paper examines the impact of political uncertainty on financial crises using a panel of twenty-two emerging markets. By examining political election cycles, we find that eight out of nine of the financial crises happened during the periods of political election and transition. Using a combination of probit and switching regression analysis, we find that there is a significant relationship ...
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منطقه ی آسیای مرکزی وقفقاز به عنوان منطقه ای تاریخی و به دلیل دارا بودن ذخایر عظیم هیدرو کربنی از اهمیت ویژه ای برخوردار است. کشورهای این منطقه از عوامل عمده ی بی ثباتی نظیر عوامل جغرافیایی، اقتصادی، امنیتی، اجتماعی و سیاسی رنج می برند. پس از فروپاشی اتحاد جماهیر شوروی کشورهای منطقه از نعمت استقلال ناخواسته ای برخوردار شدند که مشکلات فوق را برای آن ها چندین برابر می کرد. در این روند برخی از این...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Amicus Curiae
سال: 2019
ISSN: 2048-481X,1461-2097
DOI: 10.14296/ac.v2016i106.4936